After a disappointing season in 2023, with injuries and distractions related to his contract, what is in store for Tee Higgins in 2024? Injuries have played a part throughout Tee Higgins’s career, and 2023 was no different, but with a good offseason, and his franchise tag being signed what will we see from the 5th year wide out?
Barring any injuries, Higgins has the potential to have the best season of his career. Is he primed to lead the Bengals in targets, or receptions I don’t believe so. He is going into a contract season, and he should want to show the league why he is still one of the top 20 receivers in the league.
Bounce back incoming?
We’ve seen enough of Tee Higgins to know that he’s going to be around 70-80 catches, 1,000-1,100 yards, and 6-10 touchdowns… but have we seen the best of Higgins? I truly don’t believe that we have. Experience and chemistry are a huge reason why I think he could explode in 2024 if he is able to stay healthy and play in all 17 regular season games.
With Joe Burrow back healthy, and looking also to prove the doubters that he is still that guy, you can expect Ja’Marr, and Tee Higgins to both have great seasons. These guys know how to get open and have the ability to catch the ball in traffic.
2023 stats
In 2023 Tee Higgins caught 42 passes on 76 targets, for 656 yards, and 5 touchdowns through 12 games according to ESPN: https://://www.espn.com/nfl/player/stats/_/id/4239993/tee-higgins
Through 12 games he averaged 3.5 receptions, 54.66 yards, and 0.41 touchdowns per game. If we take those averages through 5 more games we get a total of 59.5 catches, 929 yards, and 7 touchdowns. Which is about what you should expect considering Joe Burrow missed seven of the team’s 17 games. So that leads me to where I think Tee Higgins finish the 2024 season.
2024 Expectations
In his 5th year in the league expect Tee Higgins to contribute in a big way. I’m not going to go overboard on what to expect, but I do expect a career best year from number 5. With all that being said let’s get to some numbers.
My predictions are for somewhere around 85 receptions, 1,200 yards, and 8 touchdowns. Nothing outlandish, just a super solid season in which he sets career bests in receptions, yards, and touchdowns.
How can he get there?
I think this questions answers itself. When healthy we’ve seen what Higgins is capable of, and we know that the target share is going to be there. His target share in 2023 was at 17.1% according to playerprofiler.
That number is down 1.5% from the 18.6% target share he had in 2022, and down 6.8% from 2021 where is target share was at 23.9%. If his target share climbs back in to the lower 20% range he could be looking at an outstanding season with no clear WR 3 behind himself and Ja’Marr.
Whether it be Trenton Irwin, Andrei Iosivas, Charlie Jones, or 2024 3rd round pick Jermaine Burton, I don’t think any of those four guys are going to pose a threat to Tee Higgins losing that number 2 role.
Final thoughts
If Tee Higgins is available at his ADP of 56.6 (Sleeper), don’t hesitate. He is a valuable piece of an offense known for throwing the ball on average 36.5 times a game over the past two seasons. If he can take advantage of the opportunities he’s given, which he has been known to do in the past you can rest your head easily at night knowing that you’ve got one of the top 20 wide receivers on your fantasy football team.
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