The NBA Finals between the Indiana Pacers and the Oklahoma City Thunder are shaping up to be a tight one. The series was split a game apiece before Game 3, where the Pacers quite literally won by nine points. Since both teams have a good number of shooters, it’s proving difficult to predict who’s going to have the big game. In Game 3, Bennedict Mathurin led the Pacers off the bench with 27 points. Who’s going to pop off in Game 4?
Captain
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Oklahoma City Thunder
AT
Indiana Pacers
(2-1)
Yes, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander only had 24 points in Game 3, but that’s why he’s the captain for Game 4. SGA can drive the paint and feed to his teammates, like he did previously. That didn’t work in Game 3, though, so his coaches might be relying on Gilgeous-Alexander to shoot more. $20.7K is certainly a lot to pay for one player, but it’s a wager on the best player in the NBA to have a strong game; those are great odds.
Utility
Chet Holmgren
Oklahoma City Thunder
AT
Indiana Pacers
(2-1)
Chet Holmgren came out of the gate in Game 3 with guns blazing. He was able to get to the basket and find a shot, whether it was through the post or just going up with the ball. Holmgren was second in team scoring with 20 points, which is impressive because he missed every three-pointer he took. If he fixes up the shooting, he’s projected to have 25 points or more, and that’s great value for $12.3K in a Finals game.
Utility
T.J. McConnell
Indiana Pacers
VS.
Oklahoma City Thunder
(1-2)
If you had T.J. McConnell popping off in Game 3 on your bingo card, you’re a genius. Statistically, his 10 points weren’t really noteworthy, but it’s all about how he got those points. He was stealing the ball off inbound, pushing the ball through the paint, and even showing some flashy moves when he had the ball. McConnell is also a great play for anyone trying to save money; he’s just worth $6.3K.
Utility
Aaron Nesmith
Indiana Pacers
VS.
Oklahoma City Thunder
(1-2)
So far in the NBA finals, Aaron Nesmith hasn’t shot below 50% from three-point land. Although it’s troubling that he’s playing fewer minutes (he was only on the court for 22 minutes in Game 3), Nesmith is a good pickup because he’s been slightly more accurate than Nembhard in this series. Nesmith is also a steal at $8.7K compared to other starters. Players may not get a big night from him, but he is a bit more reliable than rolling the dice on a more obscure player to have a phenomenal night.
Utility
Pascal Siakam
Indiana Pacers
VS.
Oklahoma City Thunder
(1-2)
Just based on the way the Pacers are using him, they know that Pascal Siakam is in a position to go on a tear in these games. There were times in Game 3 where they just saw Siakam had a good matchup, tossed the ball to him on the low block, and watched while he scored. So far in this series, he’s scored 19, 15, and 21 in each respective game. More might be expected of a player worth $14.7K, but Siakam might have the best scoring night of this series in Game 4.
Fade
Luguentz Dort
Oklahoma City Thunder
AT
Indiana Pacers
(2-1)
Despite being a team veteran, history does not look well for Lugentz Dort. He’s scored as many as 15 points, but as little as three. It doesn’t look like he’s going to get more shots either. With SGA controlling the ball, he clearly likes feeding Holmgren and Williams. That leaves Dort with little opportunity, and even though $7.8K is a great price, there are other places around that value with a higher upside (T.J. McConnell, Isaiah Hartenstein, etc.).