Miami Dolphins (1-6) vs. Atlanta Falcons (3-3) Preview, Prediction & Odds | Week 8, 2025

Atlanta Falcons week 11
Miami Dolphins (1-6) at Atlanta Falcons (3-3)
Game Details: Sunday, October 26, 1 p.m. EST
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Where to Watch: CBS

Week 8 Matchup

A clash of struggling teams with vastly different strengths is set for Sunday in Atlanta as the Miami Dolphins visit the Atlanta Falcons. The Dolphins have dropped three straight games, including a humbling 31-6 loss in Cleveland last week, leaving them with a dismal 1-6 record. Their lone victory this season came against the winless New York Jets.

For the Falcons, who sit at 3-3, the story has been one of offensive potential that fizzles out before reaching the end zone. Despite moving the ball effectively, they have been snakebitten when it comes to scoring touchdowns.  

Betting Odds

Team Spread Money Line Total
Miami Dolphins+7+295Over 44.5
Atlanta Falcons-7-370Under 44.5

** Odds Subject to Change – Courtesy of FanDuel**

Tale of The Tape

Miami DolphinsTeam Stats – Avg Per GameAtlanta Falcons
20Points Per Game18.3
186.6Passing Yards Per Game228
92.4Rushing Yards Per Game136.3
29.3Opponents Points Per Game Allowed20
203.9Opponents Pass Yards Allowed 141.2
159.3Opponents Rush Yards Allowed 124

Statistics from various online sources and courtesy of ESPN and FOX Sports

Key Details

Oct 19, 2025; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Browns safety Grant Delpit (9) rushes Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) during the second half at Huntington Bank Field. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins arrive in Atlanta with an offense and defense ranked near the bottom of the league, and a quarterback searching for his confidence. Tua Tagovailoa has been turnover-prone, throwing three interceptions in each of his last two games and tying for the league lead with 10 picks. His performance against Cleveland was so troubling that he was benched for rookie Quinn Ewers.

The numbers paint a grim picture for the Dolphins’ defense, which is the worst in the NFL against the run, surrendering a staggering 159.3 yards per game. This unit has allowed five of the seven starting running backs they’ve faced to gain over 100 total yards. That’s a weakness the Falcons and their star running back are uniquely positioned to exploit.  

Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons enter Sunday’s game with the league’s top-ranked pass defense, allowing a measly 141.2 yards per game through the air.  Offensively, the Falcons have been adept at moving the ball, ranking seventh in the league in total yards. The issue, however, has been converting those yards into points, as they are scoring just 18.3 points per game.

Running back Bijan Robinson has been a human highlight reel, leading the NFL in total yards per game (152.3) and looking to extend his streak of gaining at least 100 scrimmage yards to nine consecutive home games. His matchup against Miami’s league-worst run defense is the one everyone will be watching.

Prediction

How did the Dolphins fall this far? It seems not long ago that Mike McDaniel was the trending, hip, coach who resurrected the career of Tua Tagovailoa. Bettors don’t care about this; all they know is the Dolphins are pitiful right now. And, they want to know if there are any clues to suggest Miami will cover the spread. I do not see any clues.

Final Pick

Atlanta Falcons  -7

Over 44.5

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