New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Preview, Prediction & Odds | June 30, 2025

New York Yankees Carlos Rodon

New York Yankees (48-35) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (45-38)

Game Details: Monday, June 30, 2025 @ 7:07 pm EST

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario, Canada

C. Rodon (L) vs. M. Scherzer (R)

Where to Watch: MLB.TV

For the first time this season, the New York Yankees are taking on an AL East rival in the Toronto Blue Jays. The Yankees are first in the AL East with a 48-35 record and are sending southpaw Carlos Rodon to the mound for this game. The Blue Jays are 45-38, which is third in the division, as they are having veteran right-hander Max Scherzer take the ball.

Betting Odds

TeamSpreadTotal RunsMoney Line
-1.5 (+108)Over 8.5 (-119)-126
Toronto Blue Jays+1.5 (-132)Under 8.5 (-103)+123
** Odds Courtesy of DraftKings**

Apex Tale of The Tape

Total Apex Logo
Team StatsToronto Blue Jays
5.08Runs/G4.4
.253BA.256
.336OBP.327
.448SLG.397
.784OPS.724
126HR83
59SB44
3.45ERA4.22
1.17WHIP1.26
9.3K/98.98
.987Fielding Percentage.987
23Saves23

Projected Starting Pitchers H2H

Carlos RodonPlayer StatsMax Scherzer
9-5W/L0-0
2.92ERA5.63
101.2IP8.0
0.97WHIP0.78
119K5
34BB3

Key Stats

New York Yankees

The New York Yankees are clicking offensively as they are second in baseball with a .253/.336/.448 team slash line while averaging 5.08 runs per game thus far. Their lineup has been able to be extremely patient as they lead the sport with 331 total walks drawn. Right fielder Aaron Judge has been at an unbelievable level as he has a 1.180 OPS with 30 homers, 67 RBI, 73 runs scored, and six stolen bases while being caught three times.

Left-hander Carlos Rodon has been pitching well for the New York Yankees as over 17 starts, he is 9-5 with a 2.92 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP in 101.2 innings of work. Rodon has been doing a great job in terms of limiting home runs as he has given up 13 after allowing 31 in 175.0 innings in 2024. He faced the Blue Jays three different times in 2024 as he went 1-2 in 14.1 innings and gave up 14 runs on 18 hits with a pair of hit by pitches, seven walks, and 21 strikeouts.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays are hitting at a good level throughout the season as they are 11th in the sport with a .724 team OPS while scoring 4.4 runs per game. A big issue has been the inability to consistently hit home runs as they are tied with the Texas Rangers for 20th place with 83 homers thus far. First baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been able to hit at a strong level with a slash line of .280/.384/.451 with 12 home runs, 41 RBI, 52 runs scored, and three steals on five attempts.

The Blue Jays are sending veteran righty Max Scherzer to the hill and pitched poorly thus far as in his first two starts, he is 0-0 with a 5.63 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in 8.0 innings of work. He has struggled to get outs consistently as he has a .300 opposing batting average up to this point. Scherzer has not faced the Yankees since 2023 as a member of the New York Mets as he did not factor into the decision as he pitched 3.1 innings and allowed six runs on seven hits with two hit by pitches, zero walks, and two strikeouts.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

Betting StatsToronto Blue Jays
6-4W/L 105-5
38-45ATS49-34
31-49-3O/U45-35-3

Prediction

The New York Yankees finally were able to hit well on Sunday and get going. They have been able to hit well against Max Scherzer in their last few games against him so they should have the advantage, especially with Carlos Rodon looking like one of the best pitchers in the sport right now. Toronto is not playing too well lately and have a negative run differential over the season. All in all, go with the New York Yankees to win this game.

Final Pick

New York Yankees ML (-126)

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