New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Preview, Prediction & Odds | June 29, 2025

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New York Mets (48-36) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (34-50)

Game Details: Sunday, June 29, 2025 @ 1:35 pm EST

Location: PNC Park • Pittsburgh, PA

F. Montas (R) vs. M Burrows (R)

Where to Watch: MLB.TV

The New York Mets are looking to avoid a three-game sweep at the hands of the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday afternoon. The Pirates have won the first two games of the series in convincing fashion – scoring nine runs in each game and outscoring the Mets 18-3 throughout the series so far. New York is second in the division with a 48-36 record and are sending veteran right-hander Frankie Montas to the mound. Pittsburgh is fifth in the NL Central with a 34-50 record amd have righty Mike Burrows looking to complete the sweep.

Betting Odds

TeamSpreadTotal RunsMoney Line
New York Mets-1.5 (+101)Over 9.5 (+100)-158
Pittsburgh Pirates+1.5 (-123)Under 9.5 (-121)+128
** Odds Courtesy of DraftKings**

Apex Tale of The Tape

Total Apex Logo
New York MetsTeam StatsPittsburgh Pirates
4.39Runs/G3.32
.245BA.230
.324OBP.303
.418SLG.340
.742OPS.643
108HR56
63SB73
3.28ERA3.83
1.28WHIP1.21
8.8K/97.5
.987Fielding Percentage.986
23Saves17

Projected Starting Pitchers H2H

Frankie MontasPlayer StatsMike Burrows
0-0W/L1-2
0.00ERA4.45
5.0IP30.1
1.20WHIP1.32
5K30
3BB9

Key Stats

New York Mets

The New York Mets are looking to avoid a three-game sweep Sunday against the Pirates. The Mets linuep has struggled to score runs against the Pirates this series – putting up 3 runs on 16 hits in the first two games. Mets slugger Juan Soto is starting to heat up after a slow start to the season, raising is BA from .233 to .259 throughout the month.

Right-hander Frankie Montas is going to take the mound for the New York Mets as he looks to build on his three-hit, five-walk, zero earned run season debut against the Atlanta Braves.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates look to continue the offensive hot streak of the last two games against the Mets. The Pirates have scored 18 runs on 24 hits over the last two games. Of the expected lineup for the Mets – only one batter has registered an at-bat against Pirates starting pitcher Mike Burrows – Juan Soto, who did not register a hit. Pirates ahortstop, Isiah Kiner-Falefa and second baseman Adam Frazier boast career .308 and .375 career averages against Montas, respectfully.

The Pirates are sending rookie righty Mike Burrows to the mound and is looking to bounce back after his last outing in which he gave up four earned runs on seven hits across 4.2 innings against the Texas Rangers. Burrows comes into the game with a 4.45 ERA and a .263 BA against on the season. This will be Burrows’ first career start against the New York Mets.

New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

New York MetsBetting StatsPittsburgh Pirates
3-7W/L 105-5
44-40ATS40-44
35-46-3O/U36-45-3

Prediction

The Mets are 3-12 in their last 15 games, so buying into them winning a game outright right now is a bit of a concern.With the offensive hot streak and the Mets’ unfamiliarity with Pirates starting pitcher Mike Burrows, I believe the Pirates will find a way to win this game and complete the three-game sweep at home against the New York Mets.

Final Pick

Pittsburgh Pirates ML (+128)

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