Our MLB parlay picks are back with a Friday edition. Wednesday was an awful day for us, going 0-3 ATS with our selections. Every play was right there and had a chance to win, but that does not get it done. Such is life in the Sports betting industry. Our seasonal record falls to 11-13 ATS.
All our followers know we seek out games seeing respected money or those where Vegas books have a heavy liability. In other words, the betting outcome that Vegas books need to profit on the day. We have another three selections on tap for you today. The betting lines discussed are the consensus at Vegas Insider and are subject to change.
Parlay Leg #1: Baltimore Orioles Team Total over 4.5 -156
The first leg of today’s parlay will be the Baltimore Orioles’ team total over 4.5 runs. The Orioles are tied with Arizona for the second biggest chalk on the MLB slate. Baltimore’s ATS record is awful this season, therefore, it makes sense to wager on the run total. Despite the Orioles averaging just under four runs per game on the season, they have plated 5.4 runs per game in their last eight games overall.
During that same eight-game span, they have scored at least five runs in five of those games. Scheduled Chicago White Sox starter Sean Burke comes into tonight’s game with a 4.33 ERA on the season. On top of that, the over is 4-1 in the White Sox’s last five games. The Baltimore Orioles team total over 4.5 runs is play number one.
Parlay Leg #2: Milwaukee Brewers ML +116
The middle leg of today’s parlay will be the Milwaukee Brewers over the Philadelphia Phillies. The sharps are on the Brewers tonight. We found our patented reverse line movement here with the Phillies seeing over 75% of the tickets and moneyline bets, but the line keeps moving in the Brewers’ direction. Milwaukee opened up at +148 and currently sits at +116 at FanDuel Sportsbook. The Brewers are 7-3 SU in the last 10 overall, and we will back them for play number two despite the solid play by Philadelphia of late.
Parlay Leg #3: Los Angeles Angels ML +118
The anchor leg of our MLB parlay will be the Los Angeles Angels over the Cleveland Guardians. The Angels are another team seeing sharp money today. Cleveland is getting over 60% of the tickets and money bets, and yet the line continues to move in the Angels’ direction. L.A. is 7-3 SU in their last ten as an underdog, and Cleveland has lost three straight overall as a favorite. The Los Angeles Angels on the moneyline for play number three.
Odds Via FanDuel Sportsbook and Subject to Change
Final Thoughts
The beauty of our parlays is that we can provide you with three individual plays. Remember, we will always play these picks SU because the hit rate on a three-team parlay is about 6-1, not a long-term profitable betting strategy. We avoid public plays, which tend to be the betting favorites. Please follow us on social media as the MLB season continues toward the Fall Classic. Let’s get back on the winning side tonight and get three winners, and remember: Follow or Fade!
Parlay Odds: +672 and +874 with profit boost
Additional Leans: Twins, Dbacks TT over 4.5, Mets TT over 4.5
