Back for a Tuesday edition of our MLB parlay picks. Yesterday, we got back on track with a 2-1 ATS day, and another two winners as both additional leans hit for us. That is back-to-back profitable days, as we look to make it three in a row. Our season total now sits at 25-23 ATS.
All our followers know we target games that are seeing respected money or those where Vegas books have a heavy liability. In other words, the betting outcome that Vegas books need to profit on the day. We have another three selections on tap for you today and several leans! The betting lines discussed are the consensus at Vegas Insider and are subject to change.
MLB Parlay Leg #1: Detroit Tigers Alternate TT over 3.5 -210
In the leadoff position of today’s MLB parlay is the Detroit Tigers’ alternate team total over 3.5 runs. Our followers know we target the team totals of heavy favorites. The Tigers are the biggest chalk on tonight’s slate and come in averaging just under five runs per game. In addition, they are piling up 6.6 runs per game over the last five overall. Scheduled Athletics starter Luis Severino brings a 4.42 ERA on the season and a 6.00 ERA over his last four starts. We expect the Tigers to take advantage of that this evening. Detroit Tigers alternate team total over 3.5 for play number one!
MLB Parlay Leg #2: New York Mets ML +124
The middle leg of today’s parlay will be the New York Mets over the Atlanta Braves. The sharps are on the Mets, with New York seeing just half the money bets, and yet the books keep moving the line in their direction. The Mets opened up at +157 and now sit at +124. Despite New York coming in just 1-9 in the last ten overall, they return to Citi Field, where they are 6-4 SU in the last 10. Atlanta is only 4-6 SU in their last 10 games on the road. We will back the New York Mets on the moneyline for play number two!
MLB Parlay Leg #3: Tampa Rays +116
At the bottom of today’s lineup, we have the Tampa Rays over the Kansas City Royals. We have a significant reverse line movement happening in this one. The Royals are seeing over 60% of the money bets, and the line keeps moving in the Rays’ direction. Tampa opened at +144 and has since dropped to +116 at the FanDuel sportsbook. The Rays enter tonight, having won three straight and 7-3 in their last 10 on the road. The Royals are just 4-6 SU in their last 10 overall and 2-8 in the last 10 at home, including five straight losses. We take the Tampa Rays moneyline for play number three!
Additional Leans: Brewers TT over 3.5, Twins ML, Cardinals ML, Dodgers TT over 4.5, Angels ML, Marlins ML, White Sox ML
Final Thoughts:
The beauty of our MLB parlays is that we can provide our readers with three individual plays. We will play these picks SU because the hit rate on a three-team parlay is about 6-1, not a long-term profitable betting strategy. Nailing the parlay is simply icing on the cake. We avoid public plays, which tend to be the betting favorites. Please follow us on social media as the MLB season continues toward the Fall Classic. Let’s keep stacking the winning days and get three winners, and remember: Follow or Fade!
Parlay Odds: +614
*Odds Via FanDuel Sportsbook and Subject to Change*
