Florida Gators vs. Auburn Tigers Preview, Prediction & Odds | April 5, 2025

This Florida vs. Auburn Preview, Prediction & Odds will handicap this Final Four showdown between these SEC heavyweights who are meeting for the second time this season. On February 8, the Gators went to Auburn and won 90-81 as Walter Clayton Jr. had 19 points in the upset. The winner will advance on to Monday night’s Championship Game and face the winner of the Duke-Houston Final Four collision immediately following this game. Connecticut are the two-time defending NCAA Men’s Basketball champions.

Florida vs. Auburn Odds

Game Details

• Game: Florida Gators vs. Auburn Tigers

• Date and Time: Saturday, April 5, 2025, 6:09 EDT/5:09 CDT/3:09 PDT

• Location: Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas

• TV: CBS

Key Stats

Florida Gators

The No. 1 seed in the West Regional, Florida (34-4), rallied to eliminate Texas Tech to stay on track for a shot at another national championship. This program won back-to-back titles in 2006 and 2007.

Here, Florida (+280 to win the 2025 National Championship, FanDuel) will need Clayton Jr. (18.1 PPG), Alijah Martin (14.5 PPG), Will Richard (13.3 PPG), Alex Condon (10.8 PPG, 7.7 RPG), and Thomas Haugh (9.8 PPG, 6.1 RPG) to all be at their best.

Florida is a profitable 27-11-0 ATS this season but 1-3-0 ATS in this March Madness, only covering ATS against Maryland. The Gators are famous for making quick “Kill Shot” runs (10-0 or more spurts), and Florida has had 31 of those surges this season. Opponents have had just 10. The Gators had 10-0 runs vs both Maryland and Texas Tech.

Florida Betting Trends

• Florida is 6-3-1 ATS in its last 10 vs Auburn
• The two teams have alternated SU Wins in the last 7 meetings (FAFAFAF) 
• The Under is 8-2-0 in the last 10 series meetings
• The Gators are 4-1-0 ATS in the last series 5 meetings
• Florida is 7-3-0 ATS in its last 10 games overall

Auburn Tigers

The No. 1 seed in the South Regional, Auburn (32-5), bounced No. 2 seed Michigan State to advance to this point. SEC Player of the Year Johni Broome (+750 to be Final Four Most Outstanding Player) is nursing an elbow injury, so the Tigers’ supporting cast will have to pick up any slack for their star. That means production from Chad Baker-Mazara (12.2 PPG), Tahaad Pettiford (11.7 PPG), Miles Kelly (11.4 PPG), and Denver Jones (10.9 PPG).

Head Coach Bruce Pearl will need more than the 32 points combined he got from these four versus the Spartans. Auburn (5/1 to win the 2025 National Championship) is 21-16-0 ATS and 3-1-0 ATS in the Big Dance, covering its last three games. Preventing Florida from going on one (or more) of those aforementioned runs will be a big priority here on Saturday.

Auburn Betting Trends

• Auburn is 32-5 SU in its last 37 games (+18.65 Units, 1% ROI)
• The Under is a profitable 5-1-0 in Auburn’s last 6 games 
• Auburn is 4-12-0 ATS in the First Half in its last 16 (-9.75 Units, -53% ROI)
• The Tigers Team Total has gone Under 7 of last 8 (+5.85 Units, 65% ROI) 
• Auburn was just 7-for-25 on 3-point Attempts vs Michigan State (28%)

Prediction

The big questions here are whether Broome can play the whole game and not re-injure himself and can the Tigers’ other starters can contribute enough and shoot better than they did vs Michigan State. Clayton Jr. had 30 in the Texas Tech game, while Haugh (20 points) and Martin (10 points) combined for 30.

If the Gators can get those kinds of numbers again from those three, they should advance and play the Duke-Houston Final Four winner (CBS, 8:49 EST/5:49 PST). Expect Clayton Jr. (+340 to be Final Four Most Outstanding Player) and Florida to be better than Auburn from outside the arc, and if Broome isn’t 100 percent, this could be a hard out for the Tigers, who spent eight straight weeks as the AP’s No. 1 ranked team. Florida by 5 or more points here.

Final Pick

Florida -2.5 -115