Breece Hall 2025 NFL Dynasty Outlook

Breece Hall enters his fourth season with the New York Jets in 2025, the final year of his four-year rookie contract worth $9.015 million. After playing three seasons at Iowa State University, he entered the NFL Draft, where the Jets drafted him in the second round in the 2022 draft. In his three seasons in the league thus far, he amassed 2333 rushing yards with 14 touchdowns, along with 1292 yards and eight touchdowns receiving.

Last season, the former Cyclone was a top 20 running back in all formats, despite playing part of the season in a timeshare with other running backs. Hall became a reliable and electric running back in 2023 and was expected to continue growing through the 2024 season, but he took a step back for the Jets. His greatest value in fantasy, however, is his ability to succeed as both a runner and a pass catcher.

The question is, what are the Jets’ plans long term, with much of the structure of the team in flux?

Will Breece Hall even play with the Jets next year? If he does, will he get an entire season to play as the RB1, or will he become a timeshare or, worse yet, a backup? With major shifts in plans on both sides of the ball this season, what is the ceiling for the fourth-year running back in both the short and long term?

Breece Hall 2024 Stats and Fantasy Production

Hall played in 16 games last season with the Jets, technically starting all of them. The former Iowa State speed back rushed 209 times for 876 yards while recording five touchdowns. He also hauled in 57 of his 76 passing targets, collecting another 483 yards and three additional touchdowns. He also accumulated no fantasy points for passing or special teams.

In 2024, Hall was a back-end RB2 or solid RB3 for most fantasy teams, with PPR leagues benefiting slightly more. Using Fantasy Pros standard scoring, Hall was worth 11.5 points per game for a total of 183.9 points cumulatively. In PPR leagues, those numbers bumped up to 15.1 points per game for a total of 240.9 points cumulatively, reflecting his value as a pass catcher.

Hall remained mostly healthy in 2024, although his knee was bothersome at times, the same leg that he tore his ACL in his rookie year. However, turmoil at quarterback and coaching, and an occasional timeshare at running back, cut into his opportunities at times in 2024. His overall scoring was inconsistent and unreliable, driven in part by his success as a receiver. Even still, his playmaking abilities, running, and catching were valued by the team, and he was able to put together a reduced, but not horrible, stat line.

Breece Hall 2025 Fantasy Outlook

Hall enters 2025 healthy and looking for a true breakthrough season, entering his free agency year. If he remains on the team, the Jets should allow him to start the season as the clear RB1. Hall will look to establish to teams he brings value to both RB and WR, and can reliably deliver statistics regardless of the chaos around him. He aims to prove he is a true and consistent top-end RB talent, as he was valued going into last season.

While he mostly held the lead back role, Hall did not consistently dominate at the rushing spot to get the consistent brunt of the opportunities game in and game out. With other young talents on the roster and a shift in the Jets coaching room, what the team decides to do with Hall during the draft could indicate the team’s comfort with letting him prove himself, given his high upside.

According to Fantasy Pros, Breece Hall is projected as the 34th overall pick in standard leagues, 13th among running backs. In PPR leagues, he jumps to 33rd overall and 11th among running backs. Half PPR leagues put him similarly, at 28th overall, 12th among running backs.

Entering 2025, I expect Hall to have a good year, assuming he is allowed to keep his role. He is an explosive player when healthy, and the Jets have young weapons on offense around him if the coaching staff can figure out how to utilize them properly. However, his value is tied to so many question marks, with unknowns in both the running and passing game.

If he reaggravates the knee like he did last season, the Jets’ starting RB has options that could pass Hall over and keep the job. The offense for the Jets has looked worse over the last year, leading to massive changes at quarterback, coaching staff, and front office. Hall is a strong player, but his potential is in flux.

Hall should be able to gather 1300-1400 total yards from scrimmage (rush and pass) in a full season as RB1, 70-80 receptions, and 13-15 touchdowns. However, those numbers, especially yardage, are highly variable. He may get slightly handcuffed if the offense goes with a timeshare, or he could explode far beyond these numbers if given the opportunity. If he gets moved from the Jets, the entire situation could change. He is projected to get drafted in the mid to late fourth round, depending on formats.

For the 2025 season, this is a very interesting placement for a player with as many question marks as Hall has surrounding him. His potential and opportunity could make him a big asset for teams taking the risk, as just last year, Hall was viewed as a first-round talent, and thus, he could easily outperform his placement projections. The key will be whether he stays healthy and maintains a full starter workload with a consistent quarterback for the first time in his brief career.

Breece Hall Dynasty Outlook

Breece Hall will be entering his age-24 season this year, which means he should conceivably have many good years still left in his prime. He has an injury history, and a major injury at that, but his youth sets him up to be a factor for several seasons in a row. He remains a potential Top 10 RB in all scoring leagues if his usage stabilizes and he remains healthy. With his contract this year, though, his role could quickly shift to a different team that passes less to the running backs or features a more direct timeshare. Conversely, a more stable team could help him reach his full potential.

Therefore, Hall has questions all over the place that make predicting his future a bit of a fool’s game.

The immediate concern right now is his role. He remains under contract with the Jets until the end of 2025, but there is no commitment to him as their full-time RB1 over the long term, or even a commitment not to trade him on draft day for picks or fill a different hole. His question marks in consistency from game to game make him hard to plug in every week until he reestablishes his past form, although he should put up acceptable stats in the aggregate, with some big games and some duds.

However, if the team chooses to go with a running back by committee or split carry approach, it could hurt Hall’s overall production for the short and long term. If the end of last season is an indication, he should be the feature of the offense and collect receptions regardless of the run game, but plans can always change. If he cannot find his footing with the Jets this year, however, it could create a domino effect in his free agency that could quickly derail his once highly promising career.

The other concern is his position. The truth is, a lot of running backs fade earlier than their counterparts at WR and QB. There are many stories of running backs fading at or before their 30s.

The former third-round pick at 24 years old is young and should provide value for a while, but there have been times in the past when RBs disappear out of nowhere, especially ones relying on receptions to boost their value. Hall, having a history of leg injuries, only poses more concerns. Either way, it is hard to invest in a running back in fantasy sports because their shelf life is short and unpredictable.

Hall is pretty much a force to hold on to if he is already on your team in your league, if for no other reason than his value has never been lower. Selling low is a costly mistake in dynasty football. He will score points and slot in as a decent RB2 or a high-quality RB3 out of the gate, with potential for even more, especially in PPR or Half PPR leagues. His ceiling is far higher, but his floor could be lower if the situation with the Jets changes.

Owners who are willing to take risks may want to target him in a trade in their leagues, for the exact same reason owners should hold him. If he is being valued below his current ADP, at the lowest in his career, owners may be able to get him for value and roll the dice that the Jets put up the offensive numbers they are capable of, and get a full season of stability with Hall as their RB1. It is a big risk, but teams looking for superstar potential without a superstar pricetag may want to shoot for the moon with Hall.

Teams that put the effort into acquiring him may be rewarded for the move, as he could easily become one of the Top RBs in the league if all falls right. The risk is high, though, given the massive level of variability.

Final Thoughts

Entering his age-24 season, Breece Hall has a clear opportunity to establish himself as one of the best RBs in the game. The Jets’ plans for his full-time role are not entirely clear, or even if he will be on the team, although it appears to be his job to lose at RB1. This makes his dynasty prospects slightly unclear and largely tied to the success of the offense and coaching around him. If he leaves New York after 2025 or even sooner, owners will have to watch carefully where he ends up.

For 2025, he is not worth drafting and relying on as a top-end RB option, but he could be a nice value if he slips in the draft, given his wide range of outcomes game to game. Hall had a great sophomore season, but slipped a bit last year while battling knee pain. Assuming he again stays fully healthy and is given the full RB1 role, he should bounce back in 2o25.

The Jets could be among the better offenses if they can solve the quarterback position, with enough weapons on offense to keep the defense honest, opening opportunities for Hall. If they can return to scoring often, he should be a big part of that. Keep an eye on his role, but Hall should have the ceiling of a Top 5 RB with his potential, in all formats, at a discounted pricetag.