Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Preview, Prediction & Odds | May 23, 2025

Boston Red Sox

Baltimore Orioles (16-32) vs. Boston Red Sox (25-26)

Game Details: Friday, May 23, 2025 @ 1:35 pm EST

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts

C. Povich (L) vs. B. Bello (R)

Where to Watch: MLB.TV

The Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox are getting ready to open up their first of a four-game American League East series on Friday afternoon. This game is the first of a day-night doubleheader to make up for Thursday’s postponement. Baltimore is last in the AL East and are sending young left-hander Cade Povich to the mound. Boston is third in the division with a 25-26 record and are having young righty Brayan Bello getting the start.

Betting Odds

TeamSpreadTotal RunsMoney Line
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-185)Over 9 (-122)+110
Boston Red Sox-1.5 (+154)Under 9 (+102)-130
** Odds Courtesy of DraftKings**

Apex Tale of The Tape

Total Apex Logo
Baltimore Orioles Team StatsBoston Red Sox
3.81Runs/G4.71
.232BA.252
.299OBP.324
.387SLG.419
.686OPS.743
56HR62
26SB50
5.45ERA4.03
1.48WHIP1.34
7.86K/98.28
.984Fielding Percentage.979
7Saves12

Projected Starting Pitchers H2H

Cade PovichPlayer StatsBrayan Bello
1-3W/L2-1
5.23ERA4.02
41.1IP31.1
1.45WHIP1.69
14BB19
38K20

Key Stats

Baltimore Orioles

The Baltimore Orioles are looking to build upon their 8-4 11-inning road win over the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday. The lineup had a good game as the team went 14-for-46 with two walks and 10 strikeouts as Adley Rutschman hit his fifth home run of the season. The team was 6-for-16 with runners in scoring position in the game and left 11 men on base. Tomoyuki Sugano pitched six innings and allowed a pair of runs in a no-decision while the bullpen pitched five innings and gave up a pair of runs.

Young southpaw Cade Povich is going to be taking the mound for the Baltimore Orioles for Friday’s game and is struggling thus far as he is 1-3 with a 5.23 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP in 41.1 innings of work. He is struggling to keep the ball in the park as hitters have eight home runs over the course of the first eight starts. Povich faced the Red Sox once this season and did not factor into the decision as he pitched 4.1 innings and allowed three runs on five hits with two walks and eight strikeouts.

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox are coming off Wednesday’s 5-1 home loss to the New York Mets. The lineup was held to 6-for-31 at the plate with a pair of walks and 16 strikeouts. Nick Sogard’s double was the team’s singular extra-base hit on the day while the Red Sox were hitless in two at-bats with runners in scoring position while stranding seven. Garrett Crochet stepped up with just one run allowed over 5.1 innings, but the bullpen allowed four runs in a losing effort.

The Red Sox are sending young righty Brayan Bello to the hill and has held his own thus far as in his first six starts, he is 2-1 with a 4.02 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP in 31.1 innings of work. He has struggled to get outs consistently as he has .286 opposing batting average up to this point. Bello faced the Orioles four times last season and finished 3-1 in 21.2 innings as he gave up nine runs (seven earned) on 14 hits with three hit by pitches, 12 walks, and 21 strikeouts.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

Baltimore Orioles Betting StatsBoston Red Sox
2-8W/L 104-6
17-31ATS25-26
23-22-3O/U24-25-2

Prediction

Cade Povich and Brayan Bello have been pretty similar this season on the mound so they are going to be more of a wash. The ability to hit with runners in scoring position shows a significant difference as the Orioles are tied with the Kansas City Royals for 27th with a .621 team OPS while the Red Sox are tied with the Athletics for 14th with a .722 team OPS. The bullpens are on different levels as well with Baltimore being 25th with a 4.88 reliever ERA while Boston is 12th with a 3.62 bullpen ERA. Boston has won three of the last four games against Baltimore so expect the same here.

Final Pick

Boston Red Sox ML (-130)

More Great Content