New England Patriots at Denver Broncos Betting Odds & Predictions | Conference Championship 2026

new england patriots
New England Patriots (14-3) at Denver Broncos (14-3)
Game Details: Sunday, January 25, 3:00 p.m. EST
Location: Empower Field at Mile High Denver, CO
Where to Watch: CBS

AFC Championship Game Matchup

With a chance to win a Super Bowl on the line, the New England Patriots will go to Mile High and take on the Denver Broncos in the AFC Championship game. With the Broncos suffering a heavy loss in their win against the Buffalo Bills, it could be an easy day for the Patriots, but anything could happen in the playoffs. With a chance to go to Santa Clara to win a Super Bowl, the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos could have a great game to start championship weekend.

Betting Odds

Team Spread Money Line Total
New England Patriots-4.5-235Over 42.5
Denver Broncos+4.5+192Under 42.5

** Odds Subject to Change – Courtesy of FanDuel**

Tale of The Tape

New England PatriotsTeam Stats – Avg Per GameDenver Broncos
28.8Points Per Game23.6
250.5Passing Yards Per Game223.9
128.9Rushing Yards Per Game118.7
18.8Opponents Points Per Game Allowed18.3
193.5Opponents Pass Yards Allowed 187.2
101.7Opponents Rush Yards Allowed 91.1

Statistics from various online sources, courtesy of ESPN and FOX Sports

Key Details

courtland sutton
Dec 19, 2024; Inglewood, California, USA; Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton (14) is stopped by Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Easton Stick (2) after a complete pass in the first half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

New England Patriots

After two strong playoff wins against the Texans and Chargers, the New England Patriots are back from their four-year slumber. Drake Maye has been having a solid playoff run with wins against the Texans and Chargers, despite facing stout defenses. Maye, in the win against the Texans, went 16/27 with three touchdowns and an interception. 

While Maye has two interceptions in the playoffs, he is showing that he could play against the best in the AFC and could have another strong game today. New England, in their playoff run, is also showing that their defense is a strength with four interceptions against the Texans. The Patriots’ defense, led by Mike Vrabel, has been playing well and could have a great game against the Broncos’ offense.

Denver Broncos

While the New England Patriots are coming off a strong win against the Texans, the Denver Broncos are coming off their first playoff win since 2016. Denver has been playing well, winning another close game against the Bills, but at a high cost of losing Bo Nix. Nix has been playing well, even with some inconsistent play from the offense, but without him, it could get messy.

Denver will depend on Jarrett Stidham, who has not started an NFL game this season, and while anything could happen, it could be a messy game against the Patriots’ defense. The Broncos’ defense has been playing well in the playoffs, forcing two turnovers against the Bills. However, they may face a long game against the Patriots’ offense, which features Maye, who has been having a strong playoff run.

Prediction

With the Denver Broncos suffering a major loss in Nix, after the win against the Bills, the New England Patriots could be a favorite at Mile High and potentially cover, too. New England has been having a revival season and could have a great game against the Broncos. With the Patriots’ defense having its best game against the Broncos and Stidham quarterback. While the Broncos’ defense is strong, they could have a rough game against a healthy Maye, and the offense is their best right now.

Final Pick

New England Patriots  -4.5

Under 42.5

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