Jaguars vs. Bills DFS Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em| September 23, 2024

Josh Allen Buffalo Bills

The Jacksonville Jaguars head to Buffalo in Week 3 to take on the Buffalo Bills. This is the opening game of the Monday Night Football doubleheader. Jacksonville comes in with a reeling at 0-2 and scoring only 30 points in two games. Buffalo enters undefeated at 2-0, atop the AFC East, and well rested off the min-bye. The pricing listed is for the feature Monday Night slate including both games.

Jaguars vs. Bills DFS Start ‘Ems

Here are a few of the players we are heavily leaning on in this game. These players are in a good spot to put together a solid performance and have a favorable matchup.

Dalton Kincaid ($5300 DraftKings and $5900 Fanduel)

Kincaid again saw high usage last week with a 70% route rate and over a 20% target share. He started fast but then all the scoring went to Cooks and the Bills had a two-score lead at half. Kincaid has a very good matchup off the Jaguars defensive metrics last season. Jacksonville was bottom 10 in receiving yards and fantasy points to tight ends.

Travis Etienne ($7000 DraftKings and $7000 Fanduel)

Putting Travis Etienne here is not earth-shattering, but he may be even more involved in the passing game with the Jags facing the stout Bills secondary. Etienne is RB22, has 30 touches, and is averaging 13.3 fantasy points per game in PPR scoring.

Jaguars vs. Bills DFS Sit ‘Ems

On the flip side, here are a few players we recommend sitting in this one.

Gabriel Davis ($4200 DraftKings and $5700 Fanduel)

Gabriel Davis is a boom-or-bust pick, he either blows up or gives you nothing. He is WR51 after two weeks, with six catches for 105 yards. He is not someone we recommend starting unless you are chasing the upside.

Curtis Samuel ($4400 DraftKings and $5200 Fanduel)

We recommended sitting Curtis Samuel last week for the same reasons as this week. You would have to see something that he is going to be used. In Week 1, Samuel had two targets for 15 yards and ran eight routes. In Week 2, he only ran a route on only 40% of Allen’s dropbacks. Sit Curtis Samuel in week three.

Total Apex Lock of the Game

Josh Allen ($7800 DraftKings and $9300 Fanduel)

Josh Allen is as close to a lock as you can get in fantasy football. There is no need to get cute here, Allen always has a high floor and is the safest option to use in this recommendation. Allen comes off the subpar game last week but the Bills rolled Miami and didn’t need much from him. He continues to be a strong option for offensive coordinator Joe Brady near the goal line.

Total Apex Fade of the Game

Trevor Lawrence ($5700 DraftKings and $6900 Fanduel)

As we say in this section, you are not sitting Trevor Lawrence in week three but temper expectations. He is facing a Bills defense that is top 3 in yards allowed per attempt and top 7 in opponent passer rating.  Lawrence enters week two as QB16 and that is not where you drafted him. Again we put him here as a fade not so much a sit because he continues to perform well below his draft pedigree.

Conclusion

This is a decent matchup for Monday and should feature some good fantasy choices. We are banking on a desperate Jaguars team looking to avoid the 0-3 start to keep pace with the Bills. From the betting angle, the sharp bettors expect the Jaguars to cover and make this a competitive game. The pricing listed is for the single-game slate and you do have multiple options with the dual Monday Night line-up.

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